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Bitcoin's $8.6 battle! Super cycle or correction? Web3 commentary

Bitcoin & Solana: Dec 2025 Crypto Outlook

Cryptocurrency Information Bureau News: Bitcoin's $86K Battle: Is a Super Cycle Coming? An Ultra-Easy Explaining of Key Market Trends Even for Web3 Beginners! #Bitcoin #Web3 #Cryptocurrency

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Jon and Lila share their unique perspectives in this conversation in English 👉 [Read the dialogue in English]

👋 "Have you given up on Web3 News because it's too difficult? Today, I'll explain it in a super easy-to-understand way!"

⚠️ 注意事項: This article is intended as a technical explanation and is not intended as a solicitation for investment or a recommendation to purchase specific stocks. Cryptocurrencies and blockchain assets are subject to significant price fluctuations and involve risk. Please be sure to conduct your own research (DYOR).

"The price of Bitcoin is fluctuating again. What's going on?" "Will it go up or down in the future?" There must be many people who have such questions. The core of this news is that Bitcoin86,000 dollarThis is an important line that is being tested. If it can maintain this level, the long-term upward trend may continue, but if it breaks down, there is a possibility of further decline. However, this is not just a price fluctuation, but an important point that suggests a new trend in the entire market. I will explain it in an easy-to-understand way using an analogy so that even beginners to Web3 can understand.

🔰 Difficulty level of this article: [Ultra Beginner] Level

🎯 Recommended for: People interested in next-generation finance, people who want to know about Web3 trends, technology investors

Bitcoin Tests $86,000! Supercycle or Beginning of Correction?

💡 3-second key points:

  • Bitcoin86,000 dollarThe support line is being tested, so there is a risk of a decline.
  • In the market, there is heated debate between the idea of ​​a long-term rise known as a "super cycle" and a deep correction.
  • Solana also saw a decline in on-chain activity, and the impact of meme coins became apparent.

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First of all, what has been inconvenient so far?

In the world of virtual currencies, a major issue is the "volatility" of assets like Bitcoin, which fluctuates in price. Imagine, for example, everyday shopping. You go to the store and buy a loaf of bread, and it might cost 100 yen yesterday, but today it might jump to 200 yen, or conversely, drop to 50 yen. With that kind of instability, you can't use it with confidence. In traditional financial systems, banks and governments have mechanisms to stabilize prices, but virtual currencies are decentralized (managed by everyone), so they move solely based on market supply and demand. This is what makes them "inconvenient."

Especially in the case of Bitcoin, in past cyclesEvery yearIt has repeatedly experienced large rises and falls. Prices tended to rise after halving (an event in which the amount of newly issued Bitcoin is halved), but recently this pattern has been changing with the entry of institutional investors such as ETFs (exchange-traded funds).30%Despite the decline, there is a growing argument that it is not yet a "bear market (a bear market)." However, gathering information to understand this is difficult. For example, even if you try to read a white paper (technical white paper), you tend to get discouraged because it is full of technical terms. In such cases,GammaYou can easily compile documents using AI tools like this.

Another inconvenience is the drop in activity on blockchains like Solana, which was booming with meme coins, but trading volumes have dropped.95%The number of users decreased, and the entire network became quiet. It's like a lively festival has ended and only the garbage remains. This weakness of "speculation dependence" is preventing long-term use.

Even elementary school students can understand! This evolution's key points

Web3 image
▲ Image of the mechanism

Let me explain the main points of this news with a simple analogy. If we compare Bitcoin to "mountain climbing," then right now,86,000 dollarWe are at a resting place halfway up the mountain. If we can maintain this position, we can reach the peak (higher prices), but if we slide down, we will fall into the valley (even lower prices). The idea of ​​a "super cycle" is gaining attention in the market, which is like "slowly progressing along a long, flat road." The argument is that instead of the traditional steep slope (boom-bust cycle), a steady rise may continue due to the inflow of ETF funds.

Solana is like a "highway." It should be able to trade at high speeds, but now that the meme coin congestion has been cleared, it's quiet.34%The decline is due to a decline in the use of DeFi (decentralized finance, a system for borrowing and lending between people). It's like a system for borrowing money from a vending machine that has become unpopular. If this technology evolves, it should be able to be used for more everyday payments and games.

▼How will this change things?

Item Current system (traditional cycle) Current technology (Super Cycle theory)
Price Fluctuations It rises and falls sharply in a four-year cycle (e.g. 30%The decline leads to a bear market. Long-term stable rise, driven by ETF inflows65K-75Kis at the bottom
Network usage Speculative and temporary (Solana's TVL34%decrease) Shift to utility-focused, DeFi and payments take hold
Investor behavior High risk due to short-term trading Institutional investors are on the rise, and long-term holdings are becoming the norm

The future standard! Usage scenarios

Let's imagine stories of how these changes will affect our lives.

First, from an investor's perspective. Let's say you're a salaried worker and you're saving for retirement. Traditionally, you've only had to invest in stocks and savings accounts, but if the Bitcoin super cycle is real, you can gradually incorporate it into your investments through ETFs. For example: Save a small amount every month,One year laterIf the value of your assets increases, you can use it for travel expenses. It may fluctuate wildly, but it has great benefits in the long run.

Next, from the creator's perspective, we see a game developer creating an app using Solana. Now that the meme coin boom has passed, DeFi has implemented a feature that allows users to lend and borrow money. For example, when buying and selling items in a game, the fee isCheapInstant payments with PayPal. Creators can increase their earnings and fans can easily participate.

Finally, for general users, let's say you like shopping. If the Solana network becomes stable, everyday remittances will become easier. For example, when sending a gift to a friend overseas, you can use Bitcoin or SOL and complete the transaction instantly, without any bank fees. This will make your life more convenient.

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Check it out for yourself (DYOR)

🐣 Step 1: Check the official website/primary sources

Beware of fraudulent websites and access accurate, primary information. For official information on Bitcoin, visit bitcoin.org. (https://bitcoin.org/)

🦅 Step 2: Experiment with wallets and tools

Test it out with a small amount or try it out on the free testnet. Try Phantom as your Solana wallet.

🦉 Step 3: Learn the technology

If you want to understand how smart contracts work,NolangYou can easily learn with AI tutors like:

The future of Web3

If Bitcoin's super cycle comes to fruition, new highs are expected after 2026, and cryptocurrencies may become everyday assets. Solana will also likely move away from meme dependency and grow into a foundation for games and payments, making everyone's lives more convenient and global transactions smoother.

⚠️ Notes: With regulations changing and the risk of hacking, strengthen your security and use reliable tools. Prices are unpredictable.

Summary: Start with a small amount!

Bitcoin's $86K test and Solana's downturn signal a turning point for Web3. Understand the risks and do your own research. If you want to automate your information gathering,Make.comis convenient.

💬 Are you excited about this project?

We look forward to your comments!

Author profile image

👨‍💻 Author: SnowJon (WEB3/AI Practitioner/Investor)

He is a researcher who uses the knowledge he gained from the University of Tokyo's Blockchain Innovation course to practically disseminate information on WEB3 and AI technology.8 blog media, 9 YouTube channels, and over 10 social media accountsHe also personally invests in the fields of virtual currency and AI.
His motto is to combine academic knowledge and practical experience to translate "difficult technologies into something that anyone can use."
*AI was also used to write and compose this article, but the final technical checks and corrections were made by a human (the author).

Reference links and information sources

🛑 IMPORTANT: RISK DISCLAIMER

Investing in virtual currencies (crypto assets) involves drastic price fluctuations and a high risk of losing your principal.This article is for informational purposes only and does not recommend the purchase or investment of any particular stock. Investment decisions are made at your own risk (DYOR).

*[Important] For Japanese residents: This blog does not recommend that Japanese residents use overseas exchanges that have not been approved by the Financial Services Agency. We strongly recommend that you comply with Japanese laws and regulations and use domestic exchanges that are registered with the Financial Services Agency.


The tools and project information introduced in this article is current as of the time of writing. Some links include affiliate links.

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