Cryptocurrency Information Bureau News Bitwise declares "Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is dead!" We delve into the background of the prediction of a new high in 2026 and the future of the BTC market as institutional investors invade. #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #BTCPricePrediction
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Hello everyone! The world of cryptocurrencies is always a roller coaster ride. Today, I would like to introduce to you a major asset manager called Bitwise, who is planning to launch a traditional Bitcoin4-year cycleWe picked up the news that declared that it will be over in 2026.New highThe reason this is so popular is that the "cycle theory" that Bitcoin's price always peaks and troughs every four years may be broken. To put it simply, even beginners can understand, the rhythm in which Bitcoin's value periodically rises due to an event called "halving" is about to change due to recent market changes. With institutional investors entering the market and regulations changing, I'm looking forward to an unpredictable future!
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🔰 Difficulty level of this article: Beginner/Intermediate level
🎯 Recommended for: People who want to follow technology trends and learn risk management
Is Bitcoin's 4-year cycle dead? Bitwise causes uproar with 2026 new high prediction!
💡 3-second key points (just read this if you're busy!):
- Bitwise Predicts:Bitcoin's 4-year cycle ends, hitting new highs in 2026I might update it!
- Reason: The influence of Halbing is fading and institutional investors are moving in.Stable growth
- Caution: Investment involves risk.DYOR (do your own research)Don't forget
📖 Table of Contents
- 1. What was the problem in the first place? (A brief explanation)
- 2. Technology Dissection: A Peek into Mechanisms and Tokenomics
- 3. So, what can it be used for? (Impact on the market)
- 4. Act quickly! Actions you can take today
- 5. What will happen after 2026? (including fantasies)
- 6. Summary: DYOR (do your own research) is the key
What was the problem in the first place? (A brief explanation)
So, let's start by asking, "What is Bitcoin's 4-year cycle?" Don't worry, beginners! It's not that difficult.
Imagine this. Bitcoin is likeA rhythm like a fixed-term depositThe value fluctuates depending on the situation. Every four years, there is an event called "Halbing," in which the amount of newly created Bitcoin is halved. This reduces the supply and drives up the price, or so the theory goes. However, Bitwise recently said that this is "dead."
Why is it a problem? Simply put, it's becoming difficult to predict Bitcoin's price. In the past, there have been repeated spikes and crashes with each Halving. But now, with the emergence of ETFs (exchange-traded funds) and the influx of institutional investors (rich companies), this cycle is likely to be disrupted. To put it in perspective, it's like the "cheap, fast, delicious" trilemma at a beef bowl restaurant. Bitcoin also aims to be "safe, fast, and cheap," but it has tended to sacrifice one of these, but this is a sign of change!
Jokingly, the four-year cycle is like "Bitcoin's adolescence." Maybe it's time for the rebellious phase to end and for it to become an adult? But if this stabilizes the price, then the hoarders might be able to sleep soundly (laughs).
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Tech Dissection: A Peek into Mechanics and Tokenomics
Let's get to the nitty gritty. Bitwise's predictions are based on Bitcoin's underlying technology and economic model (tokenomics). There's a lot of jargon involved, but I'll break it down for you with some humor.
First,HalvingWhat is this? The reward for mining Bitcoin is halved every four years. It's like getting fewer and fewer pizza coupons. You get a lot at first, but they gradually decrease and become scarce. This has driven up the price.
But according to Bitwise, this impact is fading. Why? Because Bitcoin's supply is approaching its limit of 21 million and institutions are buying it through ETFs, so the cycle is "dead." In tokenomics terms, the flow of money is changing. In other words, miners are no longer making money, and instead, the number of long-term holders is increasing. Who will profit? Maybe those who are holding on. But some people will lose money if they get the timing wrong (lol). Joke: Is Bitcoin evolving from "eternal teenager" to "settled adult"?

This diagram makes it easy to understand how the Bitcoin blockchain forms a cycle. A series of blocks creates history, but the "reward block" changes with each halving.
So how does it compare to its competitors? Bitcoin is the king, but let's compare it to other coins. Who wins?
▼Comparison with rivals (how did you win or lose?)
| Item | Competitors (e.g., Ethereum) | Bitcoin |
|---|---|---|
| Cycle Dependence | Varies greatly depending on upgrades | The 4-year cycle is over, and stability is on the way. |
| Volatility | Roller Coaster (High) | The downward trend is stabilizing |
| Inflow of institutional investors | Still (medium) | ETF boom! (High) |
As you can see, Bitcoin is evolving beyond cycles. Its increasing stability compared to its competitors is what makes it so appealing.
So, what can it be used for? (Impact on the market)
Now that you understand the technology, how do you actually use it? Let's create a story from the user's perspective.
First, from the perspective of developers: people who create apps based on Bitcoin. When the cycle dies, the price stabilizes, making it easier to work on long-term projects. For example, if you want to create a payment system using Bitcoin, you don't have to worry about a crash.
Next, Trader: Short-term traders. Lower volatility makes it easier to predict, but it may also reduce the chances of big profits. Joke: It's like love. Without the intense ups and downs, it's calm, but boring? (laughs)
Long-term investors (holding investors): This is the biggest benefit! If it hits a new high in 2026, just holding on to it will be an interesting development technically. It may affect the entire market and drag down other coins.
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Act quickly! Actions you can take today
Theory alone is boring! Let's take action. But instead of "buy it!", the focus is on learning and experiencing. We've divided the content into levels.
🐣 Level 1: Start by gathering information (research)
Add the official website and charts to your watchlist. Check out Bitcoin's price history on CoinMarketCap and look back at the 4-year cycle. Also check out the Bitwise report!
🦅 Level 2: Try it out (On-Chain)
Hold a small amount of Bitcoin in your wallet and try sending it through an exchange (at your own risk). Domestic exchanges are recommended! *For Japanese residents, we strongly recommend using domestic exchanges registered with the Financial Services Agency. *There is a risk that overseas exchanges may not be protected by Japanese laws.
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What will happen after 2026? (including fantasy)
If Bitcoin hits a new high in 2026 as Bitwise predicts, it may become a "stable asset like gold." This is just my fantasy, but if regulations were looser and more institutions were involved, the price wouldOver $200,000Is this just a dream? In fact, there is data showing that the influence of Halbing is fading, and the correlation with stocks is also weakening as volatility declines.
But the future is uncertain. Threats from quantum computing and new regulations could change that. Joke: Want to bet on whether Bitcoin will be "Eternal King" or "Fleeting Idol"? (Wait, don't bet!)
⚠️ Just be careful here!
Don't forget about the risk of hacking and the possibility of "rug-pull" (running away with your money). Avoid overseas exchanges. *For Japanese residents, we strongly recommend using domestic exchanges registered with the Financial Services Agency. *Overseas exchanges run the risk of not being protected by Japanese laws and regulations.
Summary: DYOR (do your own research) is the key
Bitwise's predictions are technically interesting, but they're not absolute. Perhaps the four-year cycle is dead and a new era is coming? But, invest at your own risk!
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💬 What do you think?
"Do you think this project has a future? Or is it just a passing fad? Let me know in the comments!"
👨💻 Author: SnowJon (WEB3/AI Practitioner/Investor)
He is a researcher who uses the knowledge he gained from the University of Tokyo's Blockchain Innovation course to practically disseminate information on WEB3 and AI technology.8 blog media, 9 YouTube channels, and over 10 social media accountsHe also personally invests in the fields of virtual currency and AI.
His motto is to combine academic knowledge and practical experience to translate "difficult technologies into something that anyone can use."
*AI was also used to write and compose this article, but the final technical checks and corrections were made by a human (the author).
Reference links and recommended tools
- Bitwise Says Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Is Dead, Predicts Bitcoin New Highs in 2026
- Bitcoin official website: bitcoin.org
- Bitwise official: bitwiseinvestments.com
🛑 Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency investment involves risks.We do not recommend that residents of Japan use overseas exchanges that are not registered with the Financial Services Agency.Accessing or placing bets on unauthorized gambling sites is prohibited by law.DYOR (Do Your Own Research) Please be sure to follow the above rules, comply with laws and regulations, and make your decisions at your own risk.
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